Professor Judith Bliss
Professor of Clinical Trials, Group Leader: ICR-CTSU Breast and Rare Cancers Trials
Biography
Professor Judith Bliss is Professor of Clinical Trials at The Institute of Cancer Research, London and Director of its Cancer Research UK funded Clinical Trials & Statistics Unit (ICR-CTSU) and Deputy Head of the Division of Clinical Studies.
A trials statistician with over 30 years’ experience, her professional interests are in the design and analysis of cancer clinical trials; driven by a desire to ensure that trials are efficient and sufficiently robust to provide both the safety and efficacy results required to directly influence routine clinical practice internationally. The focus of her work involves trials aimed at optimising treatment for breast cancer. This has included work comparing different chemotherapeutic agents and refining radiotherapy schedules as well as optimising the scheduling of endocrine therapy.
In 2021 she was successful in renewing her prestigious NIHR Senior Investigator Award recognising her trials leadership and contribution to UK clinical research, and the impact of her research on patient outcomes. She has published over 200 peer review papers, largely on breast cancer trials (h-index=78, i10-index=188). She is the statistical lead for numerous trials (including PHOENIX, POETIC-A, HER2-RADiCAL, POETIC, PALLET, TACT, TACT2, START, IMPORT LOW & HIGH, FastFORWARD, EPHOS, IES, plasmaMATCH, c-TRAK TN and PRIMETIME) and member of several international trial steering committees (APHINITY, PALLAS, ALTTO, OLYMPIA).
Focus for contemporary trial activity is on establishing evidence for biologically targeted therapies through a suite or perioperative window of opportunity trials and more recently trials utilising early biological intermediate endpoints (eg ctDNA analysis) to drive therapeutic choices and predict long term outcomes.
She collaborates with key clinical and scientific opinion leaders and international investigators from Europe and elsewhere via the Breast International Group (REACT:GBG; MA32: NCI-C), via direct bilateral collaborations (PALLET – with NSABP; UNIRAD – with UNICANCER) and with pharmaceutical company partners as required.
She is currently chair of the UK Breast Intergroup and in 2019 was re-elected to the UK National Cancer Research Group (NCRI) Breast Clinical Studies Group, and is also a member of its Early Disease Subgroup. Internationally, she is a group representative for the Breast International Group and a member of the Steering Committee for the Early Breast Cancer Trialists Collaborative Group (EBCTCG) and Aromatase Inhibitor Overview Group (AIOG).
She is engaged in research to increase trial efficiency and enable technology to enhance trial conduct methods together with the challenges of accessing routinely collected data to obtain outcome and survivorship data. She is a member of the Trials Methodology Research Partnership Health Informatics Strategy Group. She has an interest in long-term impact of therapy and was co-chair of the Breast International Group and North American Breast Cancer Group Taskforce on Survivorship.
Professionally trained as a medical statistician (MSc in Medical Statistics & Information Technology from the University of Leicester and Fellow of the UK Royal Statistical Society, her statistical and trial methodology contribution to clinical trials, particularly in breast cancer, was recognised in 2006 with the conferment of the title of Professor in Clinical Trials (University of London).
Now, as a member of the Executive Group of the UK Clinical Research Collaboration Clinical Trials Units Network and past Chair of the NCRI Cancer CTU Group she provides leadership across the clinical trials research framework in the UK. Additionally she has considerable experience in grant review committee membership at an international level. Until 2020 she was a member of ICR’s Athena SWAN Steering Group having contributed to its successful Silver Award.
During 2020/21 she has been a member of the NIHR Urgent Public Health Group providing prioritisation advice to NIHR and giving a valued contribution to the UK’s COVID-19 response.
MSc, University of Leicester.
BSc, University of Birmingham.
Awarded Visiting Professor of Clinical Trials, University of Oxford, 2018.
NIHR Senior Investigator Award, 2017.
NIHR Senior Investigator Award, 2021.
Clinical Studies Group Chairs Forum, Clinical Trial Units Representative, National Cancer Research Institute, 2006–2019.
National Scientific Advisory Committee, Member, Clinical Trials & Research Unit (Leeds), 2006–present.
EBCTCG Steering Committee, Member, Early Breast Cancer Trialists Collaborative Group, 2005–present.
Breast Clinical Studies Group, Member, National Cancer Research Institute, 2003–2017, 2019–present.
Directors of Registered Clinical Trials Units, Member, UK Clinical Research Collaboration, 2007–present.
Research Advisory Panel (funding committee), Member, Yorkshire Cancer Research, 2013–2020.
NIHR College of Senior Investigators, Member, National Institute of Health Research, 2017–present.
Cancer CTU Group, Chair (2015–2019), National Cancer Research Institute, 2014–present.
Registered CTU Network - Executive Group, Member, UK Clinical Research Collaboration, 2014–present.
BMBF funding programme for practice-changing clinical cancer studies, Grant Reviewer - statistics & trials methodology expert, Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF), Germany, 2019–2021.
Advanced Fellowship Panel, Grant (peer) Reviewing, National Institute of Health Research, 2019–present.
ICR-CTSU (from 2002), NCRI-BCSG & ICCG Group representative, Member, Breast International Group (BIG), 1997–present.
Health Research Board, Panel Member - Definitive Interventions, Health Research Board (HRB) Ireland, 2015–2018.
Executive Board, Member, Breast International Group (BIG) Executive Board, 2017–present.
UK Breast Intergroup, (Vice-Chair 2010–12; elected Chair 2012), UK Breast Intergroup, 2007–present.
Clinical Therapy Research Panel, Member, Swedish Research Council, 2020–present.
Urgent Public Health Group, Member, National Institute of Health Research, 2020–2021.
Related pages
Types of Publications
Journal articles
BACKGROUND: Incorporation of a taxane as adjuvant treatment for early breast cancer offers potential for further improvement of anthracycline-based treatment. The UK TACT study (CRUK01/001) investigated whether sequential docetaxel after anthracycline chemotherapy would improve patient outcome compared with standard chemotherapy of similar duration. METHODS: In this multicentre, open-label, phase III, randomised controlled trial, 4162 women (aged >18 years) with node-positive or high-risk node-negative operable early breast cancer were randomly assigned by computer-generated permuted block randomisation to receive FEC (fluorouracil 600 mg/m(2), epirubicin 60 mg/m(2), cyclophosphamide 600 mg/m(2) at 3-weekly intervals) for four cycles followed by docetaxel (100 mg/m(2) at 3-weekly intervals) for four cycles (n=2073) or control (n=2089). For the control regimen, centres chose either FEC for eight cycles (n=1265) or epirubicin (100 mg/m(2) at 3-weekly intervals) for four cycles followed by CMF (cyclophosphamide 600 mg/m(2), methotrexate 40 mg/m(2), and fluorouracil 600 mg/m(2) at 4-weekly intervals) for four cycles (n=824). The primary endpoint was disease-free survival. Analysis was by intention to treat (ITT). This study is registered as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN79718493. FINDINGS: All randomised patients were included in the ITT population. With a median follow-up of 62 months, disease-free survival events were seen in 517 of 2073 patients in the experimental group compared with 539 of 2089 controls (hazard ratio [HR] 0.95, 95% CI 0.85-1.08; p=0.44). 75.6% (95% CI 73.7-77.5) of patients in the experimental group and 74.3% (72.3-76.2) of controls were alive and disease-free at 5 years. The proportion of patients who reported any acute grade 3 or 4 adverse event was significantly greater in the experimental group than in the control group (p<0.0001); the most frequent events were neutropenia (937 events vs 797 events), leucopenia (507 vs 362), and lethargy (456 vs 272). INTERPRETATION: This study did not show any overall gain from the addition of docetaxel to standard anthracycline chemotherapy. Exploration of predictive biomarker-defined subgroups might have the potential to better target the use of taxane-based therapy. FUNDING: Cancer Research UK (CRUK 01/001), Sanofi-Aventis, Pfizer, and Roche.
BACKGROUND: The international standard radiotherapy schedule for early breast cancer delivers 50 Gy in 25 fractions of 2.0 Gy over 5 weeks, but there is a long history of non-standard regimens delivering a lower total dose using fewer, larger fractions (hypofractionation). We aimed to test the benefits of radiotherapy schedules using fraction sizes larger than 2.0 Gy in terms of local-regional tumour control, normal tissue responses, quality of life, and economic consequences in women prescribed post-operative radiotherapy. METHODS: Between 1999 and 2001, 2215 women with early breast cancer (pT1-3a pN0-1 M0) at 23 centres in the UK were randomly assigned after primary surgery to receive 50 Gy in 25 fractions of 2.0 Gy over 5 weeks or 40 Gy in 15 fractions of 2.67 Gy over 3 weeks. Women were eligible for the trial if they were aged over 18 years, did not have an immediate reconstruction, and were available for follow-up. Randomisation method was computer generated and was not blinded. The protocol-specified principal endpoints were local-regional tumour relapse, defined as reappearance of cancer at irradiated sites, late normal tissue effects, and quality of life. Analysis was by intention to treat. This study is registered as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN59368779. FINDINGS: 1105 women were assigned to the 50 Gy group and 1110 to the 40 Gy group. After a median follow up of 6.0 years (IQR 5.0-6.2) the rate of local-regional tumour relapse at 5 years was 2.2% (95% CI 1.3-3.1) in the 40 Gy group and 3.3% (95% CI 2.2 to 4.5) in the 50 Gy group, representing an absolute difference of -0.7% (95% CI -1.7% to 0.9%)--ie, the absolute difference in local-regional relapse could be up to 1.7% better and at most 1% worse after 40 Gy than after 50 Gy. Photographic and patient self-assessments indicated lower rates of late adverse effects after 40 Gy than after 50 Gy. INTERPRETATION: A radiation schedule delivering 40 Gy in 15 fractions seems to offer rates of local-regional tumour relapse and late adverse effects at least as favourable as the standard schedule of 50 Gy in 25 fractions.
Types of Publications
Journal articles
BACKGROUND: Incorporation of a taxane as adjuvant treatment for early breast cancer offers potential for further improvement of anthracycline-based treatment. The UK TACT study (CRUK01/001) investigated whether sequential docetaxel after anthracycline chemotherapy would improve patient outcome compared with standard chemotherapy of similar duration. METHODS: In this multicentre, open-label, phase III, randomised controlled trial, 4162 women (aged >18 years) with node-positive or high-risk node-negative operable early breast cancer were randomly assigned by computer-generated permuted block randomisation to receive FEC (fluorouracil 600 mg/m(2), epirubicin 60 mg/m(2), cyclophosphamide 600 mg/m(2) at 3-weekly intervals) for four cycles followed by docetaxel (100 mg/m(2) at 3-weekly intervals) for four cycles (n=2073) or control (n=2089). For the control regimen, centres chose either FEC for eight cycles (n=1265) or epirubicin (100 mg/m(2) at 3-weekly intervals) for four cycles followed by CMF (cyclophosphamide 600 mg/m(2), methotrexate 40 mg/m(2), and fluorouracil 600 mg/m(2) at 4-weekly intervals) for four cycles (n=824). The primary endpoint was disease-free survival. Analysis was by intention to treat (ITT). This study is registered as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN79718493. FINDINGS: All randomised patients were included in the ITT population. With a median follow-up of 62 months, disease-free survival events were seen in 517 of 2073 patients in the experimental group compared with 539 of 2089 controls (hazard ratio [HR] 0.95, 95% CI 0.85-1.08; p=0.44). 75.6% (95% CI 73.7-77.5) of patients in the experimental group and 74.3% (72.3-76.2) of controls were alive and disease-free at 5 years. The proportion of patients who reported any acute grade 3 or 4 adverse event was significantly greater in the experimental group than in the control group (p<0.0001); the most frequent events were neutropenia (937 events vs 797 events), leucopenia (507 vs 362), and lethargy (456 vs 272). INTERPRETATION: This study did not show any overall gain from the addition of docetaxel to standard anthracycline chemotherapy. Exploration of predictive biomarker-defined subgroups might have the potential to better target the use of taxane-based therapy. FUNDING: Cancer Research UK (CRUK 01/001), Sanofi-Aventis, Pfizer, and Roche.
PURPOSE: Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER-2) expression is associated with increased risk of high-grade disease, nodal metastasis, and absence of estrogen receptors (ERs) in early breast cancer. We tested interactions between ER and HER-2 to determine if they may modulate breast cancer nodal metastasis and proliferation. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Tumors from the Cancer Research UK Taxotere as Adjuvant Chemotherapy phase III trial were tested for HER-2 using current diagnostic procedures. ER status, progesterone status, clinicopathologic characteristics, and patient age were included in a logistic regression analysis to identify associations with HER-2 status (positive v negative). RESULTS: A total of 841 (23.6%) of 3,565 samples were HER-2 positive (3+ by immunohistochemistry or positive by fluorescent in situ hybridization). ER-negative tumors were more likely to be HER-2 positive than were ER-positive tumors (odds ratio [OR] = 1.87, ER negative v ER positive; P < .001). For ER-positive tumors, risk of HER-2 positivity increased by grade (OR = 7.6, grade 3 v grade 1; P < .001) but not nodal status (OR = 1.3, four or more positive nodes v node negative; P = .08). Conversely, ER negative node-positive tumors were markedly more frequently HER-2 positive than node-negative cases (OR = 3.05, four or more positive nodes v node negative; P < .001) but independent of grade (OR = 0.82, grade 3 v grade 1; P = .76). CONCLUSION: In early breast cancer patients selected for cytotoxic chemotherapy, we identified significant interactions between HER-2 and ER expression that correlate with tumor pathology. In ER-positive breast cancers, HER-2 expression correlates with grade, not nodal metastasis. In ER-negative breast cancers, HER-2 expression correlates with increased nodal positivity, not grade. ER and HER-2 expression may modify tumor pathology via ER/HER-2-mediated cross talk.
We have examined the role of the aromatase inhibitor 4-hydroxyandrostenedione (4-OHA) in the prevention of mammary tumourigenesis in experiments involving 170 rats. We first demonstrated a prophylactic effect of 4-OHA (50 mg/week) in reducing tumour incidence over a 30 week period compared to controls (P = 0.04). We repeated the experiment to determine optimum dose and duration of therapy. Although 4-OHA again prevented tumour development (P less than 0.0005), there was no difference between the standard (50 mg/week) dose and the higher dose (100 mg/week). Rats were randomised at 30 weeks to either stop or to continue prophylactic therapy; marginal benefit in tumour free survival in continuing therapy was observed (P = 0.03). We conclude that 4-OHA is an effective agent in preventing carcinogen-induced mammary tumours in rats and further studies of the role of oestrogen synthesis inhibitors in the prevention of human mammary tumours may be indicated.
Randomised clinical trials that exceed anticipated recruitment rates will by definition have the necessary precision to answer the research question within the expected time, thus ensuring the timely release of data that will inform future clinical practice. In addition, the national or international momentum generated brings with it a collective sense of achievement. Such trials, however, may also identify logistical and scientific problems that researchers should be aware of and for which provision needs to be made. The logistical problems relate to the rapid identification of the extra resources required to allow continued excellence in day-to-day management and monitoring of trial governance (both in participating centres and in coordinating trials units). The scientific/clinical problems include managing issues such as unexpected toxicities and suboptimal compliance, and the lack of time available in a rapidly recruiting trial to address them. A related issue concerns the lack of time available to initiate substudies (e.g. biological substudies), the relevance of which may only become apparent as the trial progresses. Many of these challenges were highlighted by recent experience with the Cancer Research UK Taxotere as Adjuvant Chemotherapy trial.
OBJECTIVE: To assess the risk of second brain tumour in patients with pituitary adenoma treated with conservative surgery and external beam radiotherapy. DESIGN: Long term follow up of a cohort of patients with pituitary adenoma and comparison of tumour occurrence with population incidence rates. SETTING: The Royal Marsden Hospital. SUBJECTS: 334 patients with pituitary adenoma treated with conservative surgery and radiotherapy (median dose 45 Gy) and followed up for 3760 person years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Second intracranial tumour and systemic malignancy. RESULTS: Five patients developed a second brain tumour: two had astrocytoma, two meningioma, and one meningeal sarcoma. The cumulative risk of developing a second brain tumour over the first 10 years after treatment was 1.3% (95% confidence interval 0.4% to 3.9%) and over 20 years 1.9% (0.7% to 5.0%). The relative risk of a second brain tumour compared with the incidence in the normal population was 9.38 (3.05 to 21.89). There was no excess risk of any other type of second primary malignancy. CONCLUSIONS: There is an increased risk of second intracranial tumour in patients with pituitary adenoma treated with surgery and radiotherapy. Although radiation is likely to be the most important factor contributing to the excess risk, further study is required in a cohort of similar patients not receiving radiation.
Questionnaires were circulated to UK patients and health care professionals (HCPs) participating in the Taxotere as Adjuvant ChemoTherapy (TACT) trial in autumn 2004 asking if and how trial results, when available, should be conveyed to patients. A total of 1431 (37% of surviving UK TACT patients) returned questionnaires. In all, 30 (2%) patients did not want results. In all, 554 (40%) patients preferred to receive them via their hospital; 664 (47%) preferred results posted directly to their home, 177 (13%) preferred a letter providing a telephone number to request results. Six hundred and twelve patients thought results should come directly from the trials office. One hundred and seventy-six HCPs from 89 UK centres (86%) returned questionnaires. In all, 169 out of 176 patients (96%) thought results should be written in lay terms for patients. Seventy (41%) preferred patients to receive results via their hospital; 64 (38%) preferred a letter providing a telephone number to request results, and 32 (19%) preferred results posted directly to patients. Thirty-one HCPs (18%) thought results to patients should come directly from the trials office. A total of 868 (61%) patients thought next of kin of deceased patients should receive results, 543 (38%) did not; 47 (27%) HCPs thought they should; 118 (68%) did not.
AIMS: Serial photographs have been collected prospectively to evaluate the effect of radiotherapy on normal tissues in the breast. The aim of this study was to compare two methods of scoring radiation-induced changes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Five-year photographs of 400 patients randomised to receive either 42.9 or 39 Gy in 13 fractions to the whole breast after tumour excision of early breast cancer were compared with a post-surgery baseline and scored for change in breast appearance on a three-point graded scale. Two alternative methods of scoring using three observers were compared: (a) scores allocated independently, with independent resolution of discrepancies, and (b) scores allocated by consensus. RESULTS: Treatment effects estimated from the consensus and independent scores were very similar (odds ratio 1.89, 95% confidence interval 1.21-2.96 vs 2.28, 95% confidence interval 1.50-3.47, respectively). Agreement between the scores obtained from each method was reasonable, and the repeatability of the consensus method was good. CONCLUSIONS: The consensus method of scoring photographic change in breast appearance seems to be no less sensitive to randomised dose as the independent method of assessment, but is much quicker to administer. The consensus method has been used to score over 3000 sets of photographs in the National Cancer Research Institute Standardisation of Breast Radiotherapy trial.
Between January 1963 and December 1983, 248 patients with stage I teratoma were managed by the Testicular Tumour Unit of the Royal Marsden Hospital (RMH). Before 1979, these patients were treated with adjuvant irradiation to the abdominal and pelvic lymph nodes (142 patients) to a mid-plane dose of 40 Gy in 20 fractions over 4 weeks. In 1979, a surveillance policy was adopted (106 patients) and relapsing patients treated with chemotherapy. By 2 years post-orchidectomy, seven patients (4.9%) in the irradiated group developed duodenal ulceration compared to none in the surveillance group (p = 0.05). A past medical history of duodenal ulcer was a significant risk factor for ulceration after radiotherapy (p = 0.04) whereas a past history of abdominal surgery was not (p = 0.8). It is concluded that adjuvant radiotherapy for stage I teratoma may increase the risk of peptic ulceration.
Of patients being treated by radiotherapy for cancer, a small proportion develop marked long-term radiation damage. It is believed that this is due, at least in part, to intrinsic individual differences in radiosensitivity, but the underlying mechanism is unknown. Individuals affected by the recessive disease ataxia telangiectasia (AT) exhibit extreme sensitivity to ionizing radiation. Cells from such individuals are also radiosensitive in in vitro assays, and cells from AT heterozygotes are reported to show in vitro radiosensitivity at an intermediate level between homozygotes and control subjects. In order to examine the possibility that a defect in the ATM gene may account for a proportion of radiotherapy complications, 41 breast cancer patients developing marked changes in breast appearance after radiotherapy and 39 control subjects who showed no clinically detectable reaction after radiotherapy were screened for mutations in the ATM gene. One out of 41 cases showing adverse reactions was heterozygous for a mutation (insertion A at NT 898) that is predicted to generate a truncated protein of 251 amino acids. No truncating mutations were detected in the control subjects. On the basis of this result, the estimated percentage (95% confidence interval) of AT heterozygous patients in radiosensitive cases was 2.4% (0.1-12.9%) and in control subjects (0-9.0%). We conclude that ATM gene defects are not the major cause of radiotherapy complications in women with breast cancer.
OBJECTIVE: To determine the efficacy of adjuvant psychological therapy in patients with testicular cancer and to compare the characteristics and psychosocial outcomes of men who agreed to participate with those who declined to participate in a randomised trial of psychological intervention. DESIGN: Newly diagnosed patients were asked to participate in a randomised trial of psychological support compared with standard medical care. Participants and non-participants completed self assessment questionnaires at baseline and at 2, 4 and 12 months. SETTING: Testicular Tumour Unit of the Royal Marsden Hospital. SUBJECTS: 73 of 184 (40%) eligible patients agreed to enter the randomised trial (participants) and 81 (44%) declined to participate but agreed to complete further assessments (non-participants). 30 patients wanted no further contact with the researchers. OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospital anxiety and depression scale, psychosocial adjustment to illness scale, Rotterdam symptom checklist, mental adjustment to cancer scale. Only scores on the hospital anxiety and depression scale are reported for evaluating treatment efficacy. RESULTS: 111 of 184 (60%) eligible men declined to participate in the trial. Patients with stage I disease were most likely to refuse to participate. A patient was less likely to participate if he had low volume disease and was receiving no further treatment. Likelihood of participation was associated with stage of disease and with type of primary treatment (P < 0.001 for heterogeneity). Patients with early stage disease (P < 0.001) and fewer physical symptoms (P < 0.001) were less likely to participate. Psychosocial factors associated with participation included anxious preoccupation regarding disease (P = 0.01). There were no differences in outcome between participants and non-participants during follow up. Patients seemed to gain little benefit from adjuvant psychological therapy. At 2 months change from baseline favoured the treated group in the anxiety subscale (mean difference between groups -1.41 (95% confidence interval -2.86 to 0.03)). This was not sustained when adjusted for factors related to the disease. By 12 months change from baseline seemed to favour the control group (mean difference between groups 1.66 (-0.18 to 3.50)). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with testicular cancer seem to have considerable coping abilities. Those who declined to participate in the trial differed from those who participated. Those who agreed to participate may comprise the clinical group who perceive a need for psychological support. No evidence was found to indicate a need for routinely offering adjuvant psychological therapy.
BACKGROUND: Standard curative schedules of radiotherapy to the breast deliver 25 fractions of 2.0 Gy over 5 weeks. In a randomised trial, we tested whether fewer, larger fractions were at least as safe and as effective as standard regimens. In this analysis, we assessed the long-term results of tumour control in the same population. METHODS: In 1986-98, we randomly assigned 1410 women with invasive breast cancer (tumour stage 1-3 with a maximum of one positive node and no metastasis) who had had local tumour excision of early stage breast cancer to receive 50 Gy radiotherapy given in 25 fractions, 39 Gy given in 13 fractions, or 42.9 Gy given in 13 fractions, all given over 5 weeks. The primary endpoint was late change in breast appearance, which has been reported elsewhere. Here, we report ipsilateral tumour relapse, one of the secondary endpoints. Relapse was defined as any appearance of cancer in the irradiated breast. Analysis was by intention to treat. FINDINGS: After a median follow-up of 9.7 years (IQR 7.8-11.8) for the 838 (95%) patients who survived, the risk of ipsilateral tumour relapse after 10 years was 12.1% (95% CI 8.8-15.5) in the 50 Gy group, 14.8% (11.2-18.3) in the 39 Gy group, and 9.6% (6.7-12.6) in the 42.9 Gy group (difference between 39 Gy and 42.9 Gy groups, chi2 test, p=0.027). The sensitivity of breast cancer to dose per fraction was estimated to be 4.0 Gy (95% CI 1.0-7.8), similar to that estimated for the late adverse effects in healthy tissue from breast radiotherapy. INTERPRETATION: Breast cancer tissue is probably just as sensitive to fraction size as dose-limiting healthy tissues. If this finding is confirmed, radiotherapy schedules can be greatly simplified by the delivery of fewer, larger fractions without compromising effectiveness or safety, and possibly improving both.
BACKGROUND: The international standard radiotherapy schedule for early breast cancer delivers 50 Gy in 25 fractions of 2.0 Gy over 5 weeks, but there is a long history of non-standard regimens delivering a lower total dose using fewer, larger fractions (hypofractionation). We aimed to test the benefits of radiotherapy schedules using fraction sizes larger than 2.0 Gy in terms of local-regional tumour control, normal tissue responses, quality of life, and economic consequences in women prescribed post-operative radiotherapy. METHODS: Between 1999 and 2001, 2215 women with early breast cancer (pT1-3a pN0-1 M0) at 23 centres in the UK were randomly assigned after primary surgery to receive 50 Gy in 25 fractions of 2.0 Gy over 5 weeks or 40 Gy in 15 fractions of 2.67 Gy over 3 weeks. Women were eligible for the trial if they were aged over 18 years, did not have an immediate reconstruction, and were available for follow-up. Randomisation method was computer generated and was not blinded. The protocol-specified principal endpoints were local-regional tumour relapse, defined as reappearance of cancer at irradiated sites, late normal tissue effects, and quality of life. Analysis was by intention to treat. This study is registered as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN59368779. FINDINGS: 1105 women were assigned to the 50 Gy group and 1110 to the 40 Gy group. After a median follow up of 6.0 years (IQR 5.0-6.2) the rate of local-regional tumour relapse at 5 years was 2.2% (95% CI 1.3-3.1) in the 40 Gy group and 3.3% (95% CI 2.2 to 4.5) in the 50 Gy group, representing an absolute difference of -0.7% (95% CI -1.7% to 0.9%)--ie, the absolute difference in local-regional relapse could be up to 1.7% better and at most 1% worse after 40 Gy than after 50 Gy. Photographic and patient self-assessments indicated lower rates of late adverse effects after 40 Gy than after 50 Gy. INTERPRETATION: A radiation schedule delivering 40 Gy in 15 fractions seems to offer rates of local-regional tumour relapse and late adverse effects at least as favourable as the standard schedule of 50 Gy in 25 fractions.
The combination of bleomycin, etoposide and cis-platinum (BEP) is an effective treatment for germ cell tumours. To help define the role of recently developed non-nephrotoxic analogues of cis-platinum we have analysed the long term renal damage caused by this agent. We report on 22 patients studied 8-60 months following BEP chemotherapy. In the 17 cases with no pre-chemotherapy renal impairment there was a fall in mean glomerular filtration rate from 132 ml/min (95% confidence interval 123, 141) pre-chemotherapy to 103 ml/min (95% confidence interval 94, 113) on late follow up. The overall pattern is one of initial fall of glomerular filtration rate during chemotherapy, and no consistent evidence of late recovery or further deterioration; considerable individual variation is observed.
Tumour growth rates have been measured in metastatic non-seminomatous germ cell testicular tumours (NSGCTT) by estimating the rate of rise of tumour marker production (TMP). TMP was calculated for the time between orchidectomy and the start of chemotherapy in a group of 58 patients with metastatic NSGCTT treated with BEP combination chemotherapy (bleomycin, etoposide and cisplatin). Calculation of TMP (iu/l/day) took account of the continuing clearance of marker from the serum. TMP increased with time in 51 patients and this rise generally appeared to be exponential. The rate of this increase was expressed as the marker production doubling time (MPDT) and is a measure of the tumour growth rate. MPDT varied from 0.5 to greater than 80 days (45 cases) for AFP + ve patients and from 1.8 to greater than 80 days (34 cases) for HCG + ve patients. Patients who failed BEP first line therapy had shorter MPDTs than those who responded (AFP P = 0.08, HCG P = 0.003). It was found that patients with a MPDT less than or equal to 4 days were more likely to fail treatment than those who had a MPDT greater than 4 days (AFP P = 0.009, HCG P = 0.005). MPDTs were independent of initial serum marker concentration. Patients with small volume disease had longer MPDTs than patients with large volume disease (AFP P = 0.02, HCG P = 0.04). Rapid tumour growth rate reflected by short MPDT carries a poor prognosis in patients with NSGCTT treated by BEP chemotherapy.
A prospective assessment of late changes in breast appearance in 559 patients after tumour excision and radiotherapy for early breast cancer noted a strong association with breast size. Only 3/48 (6%) patients with small breasts developed moderate or severe late changes compared with 94/423 (22%) with medium sized breasts and 34/88 (39%) patients with large breasts (p < 0.001). One possibility is that greater radiation changes are related to greater dose inhomogeneity in women with large breasts. To explore this hypothesis, radiation dose distributions were assessed in a separate group of 37 women in whom three-level transverse computer tomographic images of the breast in the treatment position were available. A significant correlation was found between breast size and dose inhomogeneity which may account for the marked changes in breast appearance reported in women with large breasts.